Archive for FOMC,Fed Minutes
The Fed’s April Minutes Push Mortgage Rates Even Lower
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After starting the day in the red, mortgage rates rebounded Wednesday afternoon after the Federal Reserve released its April 27-28, 2010 meeting minutes.
It’s good news for home buyers and would-be refinancers in Mountain View. Mortgage rates continue to troll along multi-year lows.
“Fed Minutes” are lengthy, detailed recaps of Federal Open Market Committee meetings, not unlike the minutes you’d see after a corporate conference, or condo association gathering. The Federal Reserve publishes Fed Minutes 3 weeks after each respective FOMC get-together.
The Fed meets 8 times annually.
Because of the minutes’ content and density, it’s of tremendous value to Wall Street and investors. Fed Minutes provide a glimpse into the conversations and debates that shape the country’s monetary policy.
The broad scope of the published meeting minutes are in sharp contrast to the more well-known, post-meeting press release which reads more like a policy summary.
And the extra words matter.
Here’s some of what the Fed discussed last month:
- On Greece : A crisis in Greece could slow U.S. domestic growth
- On housing : Despite government support, growth appears to have stalled
- On its mortgage buyback program : There’s little reason to sell mortgage bonds right now
When the markets saw the Fed Minutes, what had been a down day for bond markets turned positive. The less-than-sunny outlook for the near-term U.S. economy sparked bond sales, pushing prices higher.
Mortgage rates move opposite mortgage bond prices.
Wall Street is always in search of clues from inside the Fed about what’s next for the economy and post-FOMC minutes usually give good fodder. April’s meeting was no different.
For now, mortgage rates remain near all-time lows but once the Eurozone issues are settled, rates are likely to rise. If you haven’t locked a mortgage rate, your window may be closing. Once the economy is turning around for certain, mortgage bonds will be among the first of the casualties.
Both mortgage rates and home affordability took a turn for the better in Mountain View Wednesday after the Federal Reserve released its December 15-16, 2009 meeting minutes.
The Fed Minutes is a follow-up piece to the post-FOMC meeting press release. But whereas the press release is succinct and to-the-point, the minutes are lengthy and often meandering.
As a comparison, December’s press release contained 535 words. December’s minutes had 6,260.
But these “extra words” aren’t superfluous. They’re actually very important to homeowners. Because the Federal Reserve’s internal debates help to shape Wall Street expectations, it doesn’t take much for those conversations to have a trickle-down effect on Main Street.
For example, after the December meeting, the Fed said that economic growth is steady, inflation is in check, and an orderly wind-down of mortgage market support was underway. A look at the minutes, though, showed some disconnect.
Some Fed members believe rising commodity prices could lead to stronger-than-expected, and others think that improvement is housing could be “undercut” by a pull-back in government stimulus.
Overall, the Fed appears optimistic about the economy, but not as optimistic as on December 16. Mortgage markets responded favorably to the minutes and mortgage pricing improved.
Although rates remain higher as compared to early-December, pricing has been on a good run this week. If you’re under contract for a home in California or just looking to refinance, now may be a good time to lock.
Palo Alto Mom of three, FHA loan officer
