For Home Buying California

Mortgage markets improved last week on weaker-than-expected data and a neither-good-nor-bad statement from the Federal Reserve.

Mortgage rates regained most of their lost ground after touching a 6-week high the week prior. Conforming mortgage rates were down last week.

News of the Federal Reserve’s announcement made headlines last Wednesday, but it was the less-reported stories that helped shape markets and improve home affordability.

For one, Consumer Confidence unexpectedly fell. This is a key gauge for economists and for Wall Street because, in theory, a confident consumer is more likely to buy goods and services — a key element in any economic recovery.

Other recovery-slowing news included:

• Retail Sales falling well short of expectations
• An increase in Initial Jobless Claims

To be fair, there were a handful of good-for-the-economy stories last week, too, but markets dwelled more on the negative ones. While the stock market’s 4-week winning streak was ending, investor cash was moving to mortgage bonds, causing rates to fall.

This week, there isn’t much data with which traders can play so expect mortgage rates to trade on emotion and momentum instead. This is good for rate shoppers when mortgage rates are falling, but if they start to rise, last week’s gains could be wiped out in the span of an afternoon.

It’s happened twice like that already since Memorial Day.

If you’re not locked in to a mortgage rate yet, keep a watchful eye on the markets and your loan officer on speed dial. Remember — every 1/8 percent rate hike adds nearly $100 per $100,000 borrowed annually.

Foreclosure-tracker RealtyTrac reports that the number of foreclosures nationwide rose 7 percent on a month-to-month basis last month.

However, 3 states dominated the foreclosure list, tallying more foreclosures between them than the rest of the country combined.

• California : 30.0 percent
• Florida : 15.7 percent
• Arizona : 5.4 percent

On a per-household basis, the states ranked 2, 3 and 4. Only Nevada’s foreclosure rate was higher.

Now, we point out these statistics for two reasons.

The first is to remind you that foreclosures can be highly local. For all of the foreclosure-related stories that run in the papers and on TV, defaults make a much larger impact on home values in some areas versus others.

And, second — foreclosures can represent a terrific buying opportunity. Not every foreclosed home is in pristine condition, but there is a plethora of affordable housing out there, suitable for first-time buyer, move-up buyers and investors, too.

Furthermore, as banks get better at disposing of foreclosed homes, the process of buying one isn’t as challenging as it was, say, 12 months ago.

As part of its research, RealtyTrac.com catalogues a lot of foreclosed homes and lists them online. However, you may find it better to start your search with a local real estate agent that knows the foreclosure market.

So long as buying foreclosures is a high-touch process — and it is a high-touch process — you may want to have a human face and agent to guide you through it.

The complete RealtyTrac report is available online.

The Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

It also reiterated plans to support the mortgage market to the tune of $1.5 trillion.

In its press release, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy is “leveling off” and that financial markets continue to improve.

The change in verbiage is the rosiest from the Fed since the start of the recession and it may signal that the downturn’s end is near.

That said, the Fed highlighted lingering economic soft spots that could still impact a recovery through the end of 2009 and into 2010.

1. Ongoing job losses
2. Reduced “housing wealth”
3. Tight credit conditions

Furthermore, rising energy costs remain a threat to inflation.

Also in its statement, the Fed confirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent “for an extended period” and to honor its $1.25 trillion commitment to the mortgage bond market.

Market reaction to the Fed’s press release is muted. With no real change in message and a basic confirmation of what most investors already knew, Wall Street sees no reason to panic. Mortgage rates are unchanged.

The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is September 22-23, 2009.

As the unofficial end of summer, Labor Day weekend is popular vacation time for American families.

And this year, with home sales on the rise and mortgage rates relatively low, early-September figures to be a popular closing date, too.

These points may appear unrelated, but there is an important connection between them.

Like workers in every other industry, employees of the mortgage, title, and real estate industries are just as likely to be taking time off on and around Labor Day.

For buyers with pending contracts, therefore, the closer that early-September closing date gets, the fewer industry folks that will be working to help close on your new house.

The same goes for households in the middle of a refinance.

With less than 4 weeks until Labor Day, you can take steps today to prepare for other people’s time off. Here’s a few of them:

1. Notify your lender of any planned vacation time between now and your scheduled closing.
2. Purchase a homeowners insurance policy and prepay the first year, effective your closing date. Send proof of payment to your lender.
3. Have Power of Attorney forms lender-approved and signed by all parties, if applicable.
4. Deposit gift monies and/or retirement fund withdrawals into an acceptable bank account, if applicable.
5. Schedule your final walk-through far enough in advance to resolve any issues that may arise
6. Have your funds ready for closing at least 1 day early.

And, perhaps most important, fulfill your mortgage lender’s requests for additional supporting documentation within 24 hours of notice. This includes requests for updated paystubs, bank statements, and tax returns.

The best reason to handle these tasks in advance is that, by the time Labor Day is around the corner, basic mortgage approval tasks will already take longer to complete — from clearing conditions to sending a wire. Reduced staff means slower response times.

Stay ahead of the curve and help save yourself from potential headaches down the road. And, if possible, avoid closing on the Friday before Labor Day and the Tuesday after.

On these days, staffs are the most lean of all.

The Federal Open Market Committee kicks off a two-day meeting this morning.

It’s one of 8 scheduled meetings the FOMC holds annually.

The FOMC purpose is to discuss the nation’s economic health and, as appropriate, makes new policy that either stimulates or retards economic growth.

The FOMC’s most well-known tool for reaching this goal is the Fed Funds Rate, currently stationed in a highly-stimulative range of 0.000 to 0.250 percent.

Recent data suggests that the economy is recovering, but as of this morning, Wall Street expects the FOMC to leave the Fed Funds Rate as-is, in its current range.

However, it’s not what the Fed does at its adjournment that should matter to today’s rate shoppers and home buyers — it’s what the Fed says.

At 2:15 PM Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will issue a statement about the U.S. economy with the policy-making body’s outlook for the rest of 2009 and 2010. If the FOMC’s overall message is one of economic strengthening, expect stock markets to rally and mortgage markets to sink on the news.

This would push mortgage rates higher.

On the other hand, if the FOMC alludes to weakness in labor markets and capital investment, it should help buoy rates lower.

The Federal Reserve does not control mortgage rates, but it can definitely exert an influence. For this reason, floating a mortgage rate into Fed’s official announcement is risky. Moreover, given the recent momentum in mortgage rates and in the markets, it seems more likely that rates could go up versus come down.

The Fed’s press release hits the wires at 2:15 PM ET Wednesday. If you’re the cautious type, consider locking your mortgage rate prior to its release.