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Archive for July, 2008

Jul
31

The New Housing Bill’s Hidden Tax Trap

Posted by: Kristen Emery | Comments Comments Off

The new housing law changes the capital gain exclusion rulesMonday, President Bush signed the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 into law and the press jumped on the obvious storylines:

  • First-time home buyers get a $7,500 purchase “credit”
  • Conforming loan limits move to $625,000
  • Delinquent homeowners get a lifeline from the FHA
  • Local governments get federal money for buying and restoring foreclosed homes

However, tucked away on the last few pages of the text, in a section called “Revenue Offsets”, there’s an important tax implication. The new housing law changes the way in which capital gains exclusions are calculated on the sale of a residence.

Under the old system, a taxpayer was entitled up to $250,000/$500,000 of tax-free gains from the sale of a home if filing separately/jointly provided he lived in the residence for at least 2 of the preceding 5 calendar years.

Savvy homeowners exploited this verbiage, moving from home-to-home every 2 years to avoid paying capital gains.

The new law thwarts this tactic.

Capital gains exclusions are now calculated by taking the capital gains on the sale of the home and multiplying it by a ratio of how long a person has lived in a home, by how long that person owned the home.

In the example above, a person living in a home for 2 of 5 years would be entitled to 40 percent of tax-free gains on a home sale instead of all of it. As always, however, it’s best to talk with a qualified accountant about how tax code changes may impact you personally.

The new capital gains rules go into effect starting January 1, 2009.

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Falling gas prices is doing more than saving Americans money at the pump — it’s also helping to pressure mortgage rates lower.

Mortgage rates had spiked between mid-June and mid-July, mostly because economists identified inflationary signals in the U.S. economy.

The largest signal, of course, was the ever-rising cost to fill a car with gasoline. As gas prices rose, so did the overall inflationary pressure on the U.S. economy.

Mortgage rates tend to rise when inflation is present because inflation devalues the U.S. dollar. Higher rates are necessary to offset this consequence.

But, the opposite is also true. The absence of inflation tends to be good for rates; it’s why we’re cheering the gas price chart above. As gas prices drop, the Cost of Living drops, too, relieving at least one of the economy’s inflation sources.

Everyday drivers are cheering today’s pump prices but active home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers should be, too. It’s creating one less upward tug on the cost of financing a home.

Since mid-July, gas is down 19 cents per gallon nationwide and has fallen over 13 consecutive days.

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Move to Plymouth, Minnesota, says Money Magazine in its 2008 100 Best Places To Live survey.

According to the report, the Twin Cities satellite has all of the makings of a desirable home town:

  • Affordable homes
  • Excellent schools
  • Low crime
  • Lots of jobs
  • Abundant “outdoor life”

The top 5 cities as listed by Money Magazine are the aforementioned Plymouth, Fort Collins (CO), Naperville (IL), Irvine (CA), and Franklin Township (NJ).

The 100 Best Places To Live survey is also sortable by metrics, including housing affordability, job growth potential, and cleanest air.

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Jul
28

Looking Back And Looking Ahead : July 28, 2008

Posted by: Kristen Emery | Comments Comments Off

On the wave of a two-day rally, mortgage rates improved last week overall. This despite a Friday reversal that had caused rates to tick higher just before weekend house-hunting began.

And, like so many other weeks this year, last week’s mortgage market activity was defined by its quick-moving interest rates.

At least one major mortgage lender issued 11 separate rates sheets between — an average of more than 2 per day.

Now, as an active mortgage rate shopper, you can’t predict mortgage rate volatility but you can be prepared for it.

Start by knowing which mortgage product is the best fit for your long- and short-term financial goals and then be ready to pounce on a “good rate” because the rates expire as soon as that next rate sheet gets issued.

Another effective way to prepare for shopping is to watch for data that can influence the market’s opinion of the U.S. economy. This week, there’s a lot of it — starting with Tuesday’s Consumer Confidence report. When confidence levels are high, economists expect Americans to spend more, propelling the economy forward towards inflation.

Inflation makes mortgage rates rise.

Then, on Thursday, the Employment Cost Index data is released. This will be a closely-watched figure this month because it should show if American workers are pressuring employers for raises in light of higher gas and food prices. If wages are up, it will be considered inflationary because businesses eventually pass that cost back to consumers.

Again, bad for mortgage rates.

And lastly, on Friday, the jobs report will be released. American businesses have shed jobs in each of the last 6 months, and June is expected to show the same. The jobs report’s influence on mortgage rates is enormous so expect big rate swings Friday, either up or down.

Overall this week, considering the weight of the data, it may be prudent to finish-up rate shopping as soon as possible and get locked in with your lender. As the week progresses and the data’s import grows, the markets should get less and less stable.

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Statistics won’t always tell the whole story, but they often provide good perspective.

The graph at right shows Existing Home Sales data going back three years. An “existing home” is one that can’t be called new construction; a “used home”, so to speak.

Note the steep decline from 2005 through late-2007.

Since November, however, Existing Home Sales have remained within a very tight range and appear to have reached a flattening point.

The Existing Home Sales data supports the word-on-the-street from real estate agents nationwide that buyers are returning to the housing market in search of good values.

But let’s not forget — demand is only half of the story. There is the supply factor, too, and the supply side of the housing market is showing the same leveling signs as the demand part.

Looking at the national inventory at left, the number of existing homes for sale has hovered near 4.5 million for the last several months. No change suggests strength.

Now again, statistics won’t tell the whole story but there are plenty of positive signals from the real estate market right now, just like there are negative ones, too.

This is one reason why real estate data causes so much debate — people want to take an either/or proposition about the state of the real estate and it doesn’t work like that. Real estate can be simultaneously strong and weak and when it is, buyers look for value.

Perhaps this is why the national housing data is beginning to level off after a 3-year slide. There’s good values to be had, and today’s home buyers know it.

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